• whoisearth@lemmy.ca
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    15
    ·
    7 days ago

    The economy has not been good since the 70’s and I wish economists would collectively pull their heads out of their asses and stop towing the line of the ones in charge.

    What you or I experience is completely decoupled from the stock market, or the GDP, and has been forever.

    • FoxtrotDeltaTango@sh.itjust.worksOP
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      4
      ·
      7 days ago

      I agree, I deleted almost every app that has a subscription

      If the apps have a pay once and buy once option then I keep and don’t delete

  • IHeartBadCode@fedia.io
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    118
    ·
    9 days ago

    and take the economy with it…

    Yeah like the last umpteen times this has happened in my lifetime. We live in a society of greed, who knew it would be so unstable?

      • IHeartBadCode@fedia.io
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        8 days ago

        See entry level people believe it’s fundamentals. Smarter people understand that it’s reading people and knowing when they’re dumb enough to invest and knowing when to bail before they wise up. So if you think about it in those respects, it is indeed an honest to goodness “real” thing. People are really being ripped off by con-artist.

        But yeah, the days of the 1890s to 1930s of structured investment, measured risk, and mitigation of the unforeseen, those days are dead. There aren’t market fundamentals outside of being able to identify rubes.

          • anomnom@sh.itjust.works
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            10
            ·
            8 days ago

            Recover? No they buy low and double their take (or 100x or whatever the ratio is at this point).

            We’re doing trillionaires now don’t forget. Even though Elon might not be anymore, there will be others unless we get our act together.

      • Atropos@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        11
        ·
        9 days ago

        We will follow the billionaires into it economic hell. In solidarity of course.

        Fuck, I wish we had a choice in this.

        • P1nkman@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          7
          ·
          9 days ago

          We could always make them feel like life is hell and death would be welcome, especially considering that they’re doing it to us., and they. Do. Not. Care.

          • anomnom@sh.itjust.works
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            7
            ·
            8 days ago

            They can fuck all our pensions up for good and starve us. That’s what it took to start the French Revolution, this time it’s gonna be global though.

      • Racoonwithbenefits@lemmy.zip
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        arrow-down
        5
        ·
        9 days ago

        For normal people it will just mean some inflation increase and interest rates increase

        Nothing we havent seen in the past few years

        • ParlimentOfDoom@piefed.zip
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          8 days ago

          …you don’t remember 2008, do you? Mass layoffs, small businesses closing in droves, difficulty getting loans, new grads unable to get adequate jobs for years (half the millennial cohort is still behind due to it)

    • dan1101@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      9 days ago

      No our federal government will spend billions to bail out whatever AI companies are favored by trump this week.

  • Th4tGuyII@fedia.io
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    66
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    9 days ago

    Yeah, like we haven’t been through multiple “generational” recessions.

    At this point I feel like I’ve spent more time alive during recessions than not, so what’s one more for the pile - especially if it means getting to watch the AI bros go bankrupt.

  • ceenote@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    35
    ·
    9 days ago

    It has always been either the economy crashing because the AI bubble pops, or the economy crashes because the bubble didn’t pop due to AI successfully replacing enormous numbers of workers.

    • Thorry@feddit.org
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      19
      ·
      9 days ago

      Or the economy crashes by AI replacing everyone and doing an absolute terrible job, causing stuff like supply chain collapse and communication/power outages.

      I have yet to see someone explain how this whole thing actually works out. Just a dozen different scenarios that turn out terrible for almost everyone. The only scenario that works out is if a handful of people like Altman absolutely rule the world, become de facto dictators as they are the ones that control the few AI companies that run everything. And by work out, I mean it works out for that handful of people. For the rest of the world it’s probably just about the worst case scenario. But you just know it’s the scenario scammy Altman is hoping for.

    • evenglow@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      arrow-down
      19
      ·
      9 days ago

      It’s not AI it’s UBI. AI is going to happen. What was important was an orderly transition to UBI.

    • Phoenixz@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      5
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      7 days ago

      It would be so funny that the economy crashes, making poor people poorer and rich people richer!

      Because that is what happened in the past few crashes. So I’m not entirely sure when and where I should start laughing about this

      • GreenKnight23@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        7 days ago

        in the past the rich got richer because the poor didn’t understand who to blame.

        sentiment towards the wealthy these days is far more volatile than it was in the 1930s.

        • Phoenixz@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          3 days ago

          And it will just happen again. If you think the poor will rise up or something like that, then I have a bridge to sell you.

          Do not underestimate the US propaganda apparatus

          • GreenKnight23@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            3 days ago

            at this point I couldn’t care less if they do or not. humanity is fucked. we’re in a downward spiral heading for the poop chute.

  • eleitl@lemmy.zip
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    25
    ·
    8 days ago

    Not could. It’s a mathematical certainty that it will. Barring a breakthrough miracle – fat chance.

    • CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      4
      ·
      7 days ago

      It really feels like the options are:

      • Bubble bursts because it requires more money than the entire global economy not too at this point.
      • Total regulatory capture and we just somehow keep it going forever to the detriment and gradual decay of literally everything else.
    • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      7 days ago

      An AI breakthrough has nothing to do with LLMs, it’s like saying the auto industry will collapse except if there is an AI breakthrough that saves it.

      • eleitl@lemmy.zip
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        7 days ago

        That’s what a breakthrough means. But obviously all the funding is burned up in more DCs with incremental iteration on the same design. So the bubble has to pop for real innovation. But I think this coming AI winter will be permanent, as things are very visibly falling apart.

        • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          7 days ago

          Well yeah, but my statement is true anyways IMO. Deep neural networks are unchanged since the eighties I guess, and again IMO it’s not they who need/can have a breakthrough, doubly especially since nobody seems to be working on anything else than “bigger datasets” and profiling and such.

  • muusemuuse@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    24
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    8 days ago

    That’s the point. AI was never meant to succeed. It’s a ransom. They are willing to kill the hostages so to speak.

  • Danitos@reddthat.com
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    23
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    8 days ago

    I think that’s kind of their idea. Be unsustainable and unprofitable, yet push to be on everything so the Goverment will bail them out.

    • eleitl@lemmy.zip
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      8
      ·
      8 days ago

      The current everything bubble is too big to be bailed out. It will take down with it everything. Including the value of currency.

    • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      4
      ·
      7 days ago

      I bet they’re just running as fast as they can, not caring about which direction as long as they are “ahead”.

  • melfie@lemmy.zip
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    20
    ·
    8 days ago

    I wonder if we will be able to get GPUs and RAM for reasonable prices afterwards.