• dan1101@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      1 day ago

      Yep exactly how gambling works. Most people lose. But gamblers think they are special and they will be one of the few who win.

      • dou9m@lemmy.ca
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        26
        ·
        2 days ago

        They could have no bots at all and it would still be an obvious scam lmao.

      • IronBird@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        2 days ago

        the real $ in prediction markets (unless you have inside info) is in knowing how to arbitrage a spread, making a bot to do so is pretty straitforward.

        that’s how the majority of the stock market works as well, the biggest casino in town.

    • silence7@slrpnk.netOP
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      2 days ago

      Not an unexpected outcome, but it’s notably worse than with classic casino gambling because of the always-available model those firms have.

  • CapuccinoCoretto@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    4
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    1 day ago

    I still can’t believe prediction markets exist. Every bet requires a counterparty and information asymetry means its not a market, its a killing field going up against rigged bets just like this.

    Billie, you’re a genius

    Enough to be a fool

    A fool to gamble everything

    And never know the rules

    Some of us can only live

    In songs of love and trouble

    Some of us can only live in bubbles

    • The Magnetic Fields - My only friend