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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • I would prefer it wasn’t like this, PAX Americana seemed to work quite well for several decades, of course USA served their own interests, but they they also provided a somewhat stable world order with a decent degree of freedom.
    Now they have abandoned the ideals of freedom and democracy and international law, to serve their own interests exclusively at immense cost to others, without regard for either law or decency. and of course that is not sustainable to be an ally of.
    I think USA will soon find that without allies, their power isn’t so great after all.


  • USA is already losing the tariff war as it undermines the American economy, and hasn’t helped their trade deficits much.
    When EU finally decides to put tariffs on American services, because USA continue with their shenanigans, then USA will have a trade deficit for real.
    Because the trade deficit on goods is vastly outweighed by the surplus on services.
    Even if they have a deficit, it is basically free, because they can pay for it with dollars they print themselves, because the USD is the global reserve currency.
    But Trump is ruining that too, since “liberation day” where Trump introduced his tariffs, the use of the USD as a global reserve currency has dropped, some claim by up to 30%

    All USA is doing is undermine the power they used to have. Everybody threatened by USA are in talks with each other to increase cooperation.

    EU, Canada, Australia, UK, Japan, are making deals to cooperate around USA including on military.
    The Gulf countries are now negotiating with China on economy, which will potentially be the end of the petro dollar. And they are looking to Europe especially Ukraine for defense equipment to replace American equipment.
    South American countries have been working with China for years, and USA subsidizing Argentina will not change that.

    USA is making themselves irrelevant, the Iran war has shown their military is a paper tiger, that cannot protect their allies, and they are pulling key defense equipment out of Japan and South Korea to aid in the Iran war. Making all allies unsure of the value of cooperating with USA. Japan participating in the EU SAFE program is an extremely clear indicator of that.

    So whatever USA decides, will have very little bearing on the rest of the world. Because for USA, the train has already left the station, the ship has sailed. The world has lost patience with USA, and are now only idling in their relations with USA, while they all seek to strengthen other relations, for both financial stability and military safety.


  • Chinese companies are heavily incentivized to use Chinese chips instead of American since Trump blocked trade with China.
    China used to parallel import the chips they needed, and even repackage them with more onboard RAM, making more powerful Nvidia solutions available in China than in the rest of the world.
    But Trumps behavior towards China made the Chinese government decide to limit the use of American technologies for AI.
    There was a point where Nvidia exports to China was basically at a standstill, because China forbade the purchase of a new cut down Nvidia chip made for the Chinese market to circumvent American trade restrictions.

    China is building their own complete stack now, replacing everything with Chinese technologies, right from the AI chips to the entire AI software framework.

    So not only does Nvidia and other American companies lose hardware sales, the entire stack will be threatened with a Chinese alternative, that will likely compete with American options on the international market in the future. If Cuda loses its current dominance, it will be easier for competitors to take marketshare from Nvidia.

    Hopefully this will be good for consumers worldwide.